28 JUNE 2010 EXTENDED FORECAST

28 JUNE 2010 EXTENDED FORECAST

TODAY THRU SATURDAY 28TH TO 3 JULY - PARTLY CLOUDY WITH TEMPS IN THE LOW/MID 80'S AND LT EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS - THEN GUSTY SOUTH WINDS BY SATURDAY

SUNDAY THRU TUESDAY 4TH TO 6TH - CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS - GUSTY SE WINDS - TEMPS MID 80'S

WEDNESDAY 7TH - CLEARING

DISCUSSION:

NICE - NO RAIN - NICE - NO RAIN THIS WEEK.........

THERE'S ONLY ONE WAY TO EXPLAIN THIS WEEK......HIGH AND DRY THRU THE WEEKEND........

HOWEVER:
HERE WE SIT IN IOWA - THINKING NOTHING ELSE OUT OF THE ORDINARY COULD COME OUR WAY AS FAR WEATHER THIS SUMMER....WELL GUESS WHAT??? TS ALEX IS SHOWING HIS TEETH OVER THE YUCATAN PENN, AND HIS EYES ARE FOCUSED ON THE GULF COAST.....DIFFERENT FORECASTERS USING DIFFERENT FORECAST MODELS ARE COMING WITH DIFFERENT IDEAS ON EXACTLY WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS - "WHERE IS ALEX GOING TO GO, AND WHAT IS HE GOING TO DO STRENGTH-WISE?".......

ALEX IS TAKING SHAPE AND SHOWING THE NUMBERS OF TWO DIFFERENT STORMS THAT HAVE AFFECTED THE GULF COAST........

#1 TEXAS COAST? BEWARE......ALEX IS LOOKING LIKE THE ONLY HURRICANE IN JUNE (EVER) TO REACH CAT 4. HURRICANE AUDREY MADE LANDFALL ON THE LA/TX COAST ON JUNE 27TH, 1957 AS A CAT 4.... AUDREY THEN ENTERED LA., MADE HER WAY NORTH INTO THE TENN VALLEY, HOOKED UP WITH ANOTHER LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY, DUMPING 7-10 INCHES OF RAIN FROM CENTRAL ILL TO NRN INDIANA BEFORE EXITING INTO SRN CANADA 4 DAYS AFTER LANDFALL.......

#2 ALEX IS ALSO LOOKING ALITTLE LIKE THE STORM OF ALL STORMS - IN ONE SIMPLE WAY.....HURRICANES USUALLY WEAKEN ONCE THEY MAKE LANDFALL...ALEX ACTUALLY GAINED STRENGTH OVER THE WEEKEND AS HE MADE LANDFALL OVER THE YUCATAN PENN - MUCH LIKE HURRICANE KATRINA DID ONCE SHE MOVED OVER FLORIDA.....NEED I SAY MORE??????

HURRICANES TEND TO REPEAT THEMSELVES AND TAKE TRACKS OF PREVIOUS STORMS THAT SHOW LIKENESSES.....IT'S FAIR TO SAY, ALEX WILL DO THE SAME........IT LOOKS LIKE ALEX WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE TX/LA COAST ON THE 30TH/WEDNESDAY EVENING AS A CAT 3 (AT LEAST A HIGH 2) HURRICANE....NOW THE OIL SPILL DAMAGE REALLY BEGINS - THE SPILL PATTERN WILL MOVE ENE.....ENOUGH ON THAT - IT'S COMMON SENSE - A DISASTER..........ALEX WILL THEN SLOW HIS NORTHWARD MOVEMENT AND HANG OUT OVER THE SRN PLAINS AS AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW (A LOW THAT LOOKS TROPICAL, BUT ISN'T IN THE TROPICS) FROM NRN LA. TO CENTRAL MISSOURI THRU THE 3RD OF JULY - DUMPING FLOODING RAINS IN HIS WAKE THRU THE REGION..........IOWA WILL SEE THE EFFECTS OF ALEX IN THE FORM OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS BY 2 JULY.......

BY THE 4TH, THE LOW WILL BE CENTERED OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI, AND OUR WINDS HERE IN IOWA WILL BE SOUTHEASTERLY AND MAY BE GUSTY......RAIN/THUNDER WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHEAST, WITH THE EASTERN HALF OF IOWA LOOKING TO GET A SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL - ESPECIALLY SE IOWA ON THE 4TH OR 5TH.....DIMINISHING TO SHOWERS BY THE 6TH, AND FINALLY CLEARING ON THE 7TH AS THE LOW TRACKS NE..........WE WILL SEE......